Calgary Flames Filing for Arbitration with Tkachuk is a Very Bad Sign

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On Sunday, the NHL Players Association declared the list of gamers who have filed for salary arbitration, which includes a few Calgary Flames: Andrew Mangiapane, Oliver Kylington and Matthew Phillips. Just one noteworthy name missing from the record, even so, is Matthew Tkachuk. Even so, whilst he didn’t file for arbitration, the Flames chose to file for club-elected income arbitration on Monday, accompanied by the next message posted on Twitter:

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“The Flames have submitted for club-elected wage arbitration with Matthew Tkachuk. This delivers us the possibility to proceed to get the job done with his associates towards a contractual resolution while taking away the risk of an present sheet.”

Numerous were perplexed by this, as it is uncommon for a staff to file for income arbitration. As a outcome, some believed it was superior information for holding Tkachuk around for the extensive time period. When that could nevertheless transpire, this go appears to advise the 24-12 months-old will be on the move faster than afterwards. Here’s why.

Arbitration Suggests Tkachuk Will be Moved

Even though filing for club-elected arbitration proficiently helps prevent other groups from extending an give sheet to Tkachuk, it also seems to propose he was going to accept the qualifying give from the organization, which would have been a 1-12 months, $9 million offer. This would preserve him with the Flames for the 2022-23 season right before he became a absolutely free agent, identical to Johnny Gaudreau.

Matthew Tkachuk Calgary Flames
Matthew Tkachuk, Calgary Flames (Image by Brett Holmes/Icon Sportswire through Getty Images)

This would have been a key catastrophe for the Flames. They merely can’t pay for to drop two superstar abilities even though getting absolutely nothing in return. Absolutely sure, they could have traded Tkachuk soon after he approved his 1-year deal, but most teams would choose to have him unsigned although getting his legal rights so they could function out a lengthy-term offer of their have. Any staff earning a trade for him on a one particular-12 months contract would know he could bolt at this time future year in absolutely free agency, which significantly lowers his trade benefit.

The other challenge right here is that if his contract situation does go to an arbitrator, an extension are not able to be agreed on until eventually Jan. 1, 2023. This once again signifies that any staff that may well be intrigued in obtaining Tkachuk would do so knowing they could not get an extension finished, which will scare numerous teams away or reduce their offer considerably.

Tkachuk Offer you Sheet Not Possible

What this shift suggests is that the Flames are searching to trade Tkachuk. Whilst administration argued that it was to prevent an present sheet, that was never a probably result in this scenario.

Any crew that would have prolonged Tkachuk an give sheet would only have been ready to indication him to a just one-12 months deal. At the time again, that would have been an particularly risky guess for any group due to the fact they would not only have to portion with draft picks but could then eliminate him for nothing at all next offseason if the two functions could not concur on an extension.

Flames Acquiring Time

The most most likely motive the Flames filed for salary arbitration is to get time. Arbitration hearings begin on July 27 and operate until Aug. 11. What this indicates is that normal manager Brad Treliving is very likely doing all the things he can to find the finest available trade offer for his star forward, and will attempt and go him just before a deal is fixed by an arbitrator.

Calgary Flames general manager Brad Treliving
Calgary Flames standard manager Brad Treliving (THE CANADIAN Press/Larry MacDougal)

Of course, in spite of being a restricted totally free agent, Tkachuk retains a fair amount of electrical power below. Technically, Treliving could deliver him any where he needs, but Tkachuk could enable any interested workforce know no matter whether or not he would be inclined to negotiate a long-term offer with them. For case in point, if there are 3 groups fascinated in him, if the workforce speaking to Treliving about a trade isn’t a single of them, they are not heading to make a big offer. This could tie the GM’s hands, as he might be compelled to offer Tkachuk to one particular of his favored locations for considerably less than industry worth.

Devastating Offseason for the Flames

This is not to suggest that Tkachuk will be long gone by the close of this offseason, nevertheless it feels probably at this level. Gamers of his calibre, in particular those coming off a 104-level season, rarely go to income arbitration, specially in this manner. There have been inquiries (for a couple of many years) about no matter whether he preferred to continue to be with the Flames prolonged-phrase, and it seems those people thoughts have been justified. Of system, shedding out on the Gaudreau sweepstakes didn’t help, either.

Although it continues to be most likely that Treliving will glance to negotiate a new lengthy-expression deal with Tkachuk in excess of the upcoming week, I hope he will be moved. If so, it will be a devastating outcome for the organization, as they are coming off of a 111-position typical period in which they had been viewed as Stanley Cup contenders by many. This problem has however to have been resolved, but if Tkachuk is traded, the Flames will regress, very likely in remarkable manner, in the standings for the 2022-23 time.


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